What is the 11am rule? (2024)

Does this old trading rule still stand true today?

So sometimes you hear these sayings andrulesthat traders used to come up with before charts, ChatGPT, and Instagram gurus…

And theseruleswere based on simple observations aboutthemarket’s rhythm and structure.

I’m going to explore a few more of these overthenext few weeks, but today I want to focus onthe11amrule.

What isthe11amrulein trading?

The11amrulesuggests that if a market makes a new intraday high fortheday between11:15amand11:30amEST, then it’s said to be very likely thatthemarket will endtheday near its high.

Theidea being that if there hasn’t been a push lower by11am, then demand is persistent, sellers are scarce, and we could be in for a trend day higher.

Here’s a chart example:

A new high at11.25 EST ontheS&P 500, closedtheday at highs.

What is the 11am rule? (1)

Here’s another.

So, this did actually close at highs, but your trade timing would have had to be on point to make this one work…

What is the 11am rule? (2)

You gettheidea…

Now I haven’t backtested this, but my gut says this makes sense.

I found some data to suggest thisruleapplies 75% ofthetime, but I’ve not done my own digging yet.

When I do I’ll share my findings.

I wonder if it works in other markets too…

Meanwhile, it’s something to think about, and if true, it’s another one of these little edges you could layer into your trading strategy for potentially improved returns.

What is the 11am rule? (2024)

FAQs

What is the 11 am rule? ›

​The 11 am rule suggests that if a market makes a new intraday high for the day between 11:15 am and 11:30 am EST, then it's said to be very likely that the market will end the day near its high.

What is the 11 am trading strategy? ›

According to the 11 am rule of trading, there exists a 75% chance that a security on an upward trend will close within one percent of its highest point for the day if it achieves a new peak between 11:15 and 11:30 am Eastern Standard Time.

What is the 3 5 7 rule in trading? ›

What is the 3 5 7 rule in trading? A risk management principle known as the “3-5-7” rule in trading advises diversifying one's financial holdings to reduce risk. The 3% rule states that you should never risk more than 3% of your whole trading capital on a single deal.

What is the no. 1 rule of trading? ›

Rule 1: Always Use a Trading Plan

You need a trading plan because it can assist you with making coherent trading decisions and define the boundaries of your optimal trade. A decent trading plan will assist you with avoiding making passionate decisions without giving it much thought.

What is the most popular day trading strategy? ›

Scalping is one of the most popular strategies. It involves selling almost immediately after a trade becomes profitable. The price target is whatever figure means that you'll make money on the trade. Fading involves shorting stocks after rapid moves upward.

What are the best hours for day trading? ›

The opening period (9:30 a.m. to 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time) is often one of the best hours of the day for day trading, offering the biggest moves in the shortest amount of time. A lot of professional day traders stop trading around 11:30 a.m. because that is when volatility and volume tend to taper off.

What is the most profitable trading strategy of all time? ›

Three most profitable Forex trading strategies
  1. Scalping strategy “Bali” This strategy is quite popular, at least, you can find its description on many trading websites. ...
  2. Candlestick strategy “Fight the tiger” ...
  3. “Profit Parabolic” trading strategy based on a Moving Average.
Jan 19, 2024

What is the simplest trading strategy ever? ›

Moving averages are one of the most basic yet effective trading strategies. They calculate the average price of a security over a specified period of time and smooth out price fluctuations, making it easier to spot trends.

What is the simplest most profitable trading strategy? ›

One of the simplest and most widely known fundamental strategies is value investing. This strategy involves identifying undervalued assets based on their intrinsic value and holding onto them until the market recognizes their true worth.

What is the golden rule of traders? ›

Let profits run and cut losses short Stop losses should never be moved away from the market. Be disciplined with yourself, when your stop loss level is touched, get out. If a trade is proving profitable, don't be afraid to track the market.

What is 90% rule in trading? ›

The 90 rule in Forex is a commonly cited statistic that states that 90% of Forex traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days. This is a sobering statistic, but it is important to understand why it is true and how to avoid falling into the same trap.

What is the 80% rule in trading? ›

The Rule. If, after trading outside the Value Area, we then trade back into the Value Area (VA) and the market closes inside the VA in one of the 30 minute brackets then there is an 80% chance that the market will trade back to the other side of the VA.

Why do 90 of traders fail? ›

Without a trading plan, retail traders are more likely to trade randomly, inconsistently, and irrationally. Another reason why retail traders lose money is that they do not have an asymmetrical risk-reward ratio.

What is the 70/20/10 rule in trading? ›

Part one of the rule said that in the next 12 months, the return you got on a stock was 70% determined by what the U.S. stock market did, 20% was determined by how the industry group did and 10% was based on how undervalued and successful the individual company was.

What is the rule of 2 in trading? ›

This has since been adapted by short-term equity traders as the 2 Percent Rule: NEVER RISK MORE THAN 2 PERCENT OF YOUR CAPITAL ON ANY ONE STOCK. This means that a run of 10 consecutive losses would only consume 20% of your capital. It does not mean that you need to trade 50 different stocks!

What is the 10 am rule in day trading? ›

Some traders follow something called the "10 a.m. rule." The stock market opens for trading at 9:30 a.m., and the time between 9:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. often has significant trading volume. Traders that follow the 10 a.m. rule think a stock's price trajectory is relatively set for the day by the end of that half-hour.

What is the 10 am rule? ›

You use the 10 A.M. rule, and wait until after 10 A.M. to buy your stocks and options. If the stocks and options make a new high for the day after 10 A.M., then, and only then, should you trade the stocks and options.

What are the 10 am rules? ›

The 10 a.m. rule in stock trading is a strategy suggesting that traders should wait until around 10 a.m. before making significant trading decisions. The rationale behind this rule is to allow the market to stabilize after the initial flurry of activity that follows its opening.

How much money do day traders with $10,000 accounts make per day on average? ›

With a $10,000 account, a good day might bring in a five percent gain, which is $500. However, day traders also need to consider fixed costs such as commissions charged by brokers. These commissions can eat into profits, and day traders need to earn enough to overcome these fees [2].

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