Why you shouldn't trade during macroeconomic news events (2024)

Trading at the time of news announcements is appealing to many traders because they feel it is an ideal way to make a lot of money in a short amount of time. Unfortunately, in most cases it ends in unnecessary losses. Why should you avoid trading during news announcements?

Although many traders may think that trading during news announcements can be a good way to make money quickly, this method is generally not recommended. This is because, especially for less experienced traders, there is a risk that they can lose their entire account very quickly. There are a number of pitfalls for traders during important news announcements that can easily be avoided by staying away from the markets during these periods.

News that moves the markets

Virtually every day, economic data is announced that can impact the markets. However, not all of it necessarily has a significant effect, and there are considerable differences. When placing orders, it's crucial to be particularly cautious of news expected to significantly influence the markets. Economic calendars on the Internet (including our calendar) typically highlight such news in red or with a specific designation.

Why you shouldn't trade during macroeconomic news events (2)

These are usually the most important macroeconomic data that have the greatest impact on the economies of the countries concerned. These reports include:

Central bank interest rate decisions

Inflation rates (CPI)

GDP

Unemployment (NFP)

Retail Sales

Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMI)

In addition to these reports, numerous other, less significant reports for each economy are announced throughout each day. Naturally, the impact of each report can vary, contingent upon expectations and whether the actual figure aligns with predictions or differs significantly. In certain cases, like the NFP in the US, it is advisable to refrain from trading on the day preceding the report, as the market typically experiences reduced activity in anticipation of the data.

A lot also depends on the timing of the news announcement. During impending recessions, news regarding inflation and unemployment holds greater significance compared to times when the economy is thriving. Moreover, statements from renowned economists or central bankers frequently prompt substantial market movements, particularly in uncertain market conditions when adjustments in monetary policy are anticipated.

Volatility and widened spreads

In essence, news announcements prompt increased volatility and wider spreads, often resulting in reduced liquidity at specific price levels due to rapid market shifts. This is a natural occurrence. If a broker assures you of guaranteed Stop Losses etc., it's most likely a standard market maker (b-book broker). Such brokers may not execute your orders in the market and might lack agreements with liquidity providers, often serving as the counterparty to your trades. This scenario inherently creates a conflict of interest, placing the client consistently at a disadvantage. Thus, when broker terms and conditions seem exceedingly favourable on the surface, they may hide potential risks, forming a dangerous trap for clients.

Unnecessary risk

The problem can also arise if you open an unnecessarily large trade in the expectation of a quick profit. It may well happen that such a large position in the market simply cannot be executed in a given time, and your trade will be executed at a much worse price than you originally wanted. The originally planned Stop Loss will then appear at a price level that does not make sense for you, and you will realize a loss immediately after opening the trade (due to the extended spread), or you will adjust the SL in a way that is never recommended (i.e. to a larger loss) and end up realizing a much larger loss than your risk management rules allow.

Restrictions that make sense

With our news rule, we try to prevent such misunderstandings by limiting the execution of trades during the announcement of selected macroeconomic news with a large impact on the markets. You can see which reports are affected and how this works in our calendar (where these selected reports are specially marked) or in our FAQ section.

The restriction is only valid for two minutes before and after the news announcement and applies to the instrument or currency selected, and trading within this window may be considered a violation of the FTMO Account Agreement. Keep in mind that similar to the Trading Objectives, which are designed to teach our traders to set up proper money management and risk management, the restrictions on news trading are designed to teach you to trade sensibly and not take unnecessary risk.

The exception is the swing account, which allows trading at the time of the news announcement. However, we have not allowed this because we would want you to open unnecessarily risky positions at that time. Rather, we are concerned that you are not "punished" for accidentally closing your position in a timeframe in which it should not be traded. This is because even that can happen if the price accidentally moves more than normal, and even a reasonably set Stop Loss level may not be enough.

We don't want to restrict our traders from trading, but if you do decide to trade around the time of macroeconomic news announcements, you should be aware of the risks you are taking and the impact it may have on your account. There are still plenty of opportunities in the markets even when no macro data is being announced, so why stress yourself unnecessarily at a time when the market conditions can threaten your hard-earned profits. Trade safe!

Why you shouldn't trade during macroeconomic news events (2024)

FAQs

Why shouldn't you trade on news? ›

Although many traders may think that trading during news announcements can be a good way to make money quickly, this method is generally not recommended. This is because, especially for less experienced traders, there is a risk that they can lose their entire account very quickly.

Why should I avoid trading? ›

If you can't find a reasonable price level for your stop loss, or you have to set your stop too far away and, therefore, have a reward:risk ratio that is too small, don't take that trade. Most amateurs fiddle with their stop until they think that the potential profit is large enough.

Does news affect trading? ›

This happens because traders attempt to predict the results of future news announcements and so, in turn, the market responds by changing the price of an asset. News-based trading is especially useful for volatile markets, for example oil trading.

When should you absolutely avoid trading? ›

Market close/open.

It's a good idea to avoid these or be wary around these times. At market close a number of trading positions are being closed. This will lead to volatility in the currency markets which can then cause price to move erratically. The same applies at market open.

How does bad news affect the stock market? ›

Bad news can cause investors to panic and sell off all their holdings at once. This could lead to a big drop in prices for stocks traded on exchanges. Bad news can have a significant impact on the stock market.

When should you trade after news? ›

The most common way to trade news is to look for a period of consolidation or uncertainty ahead of a big number and to trade the breakout on the back of the news. This can be done on both a short-term basis (intraday) or over several days.

Should you trade before or after news? ›

Placing trades before an event would imply that you have a directional bias, and if you are right, you will reap the rewards. You can, however, experience massive losses if you are wrong. Placing trades during the release of a news event can be very prudent because you will be placing trades according to actual data.

What are the disadvantages of trading? ›

Disadvantages of trading

Stock markets are volatile and highly dynamic. We live in a technologically-driven world that is constantly shrinking. An event in any corner of the world may impact the price of the stock you are holding. Also, stock prices go up and down multiple times within a single trading day.

What does news mean in trading? ›

Trading the news is a technique to trade equities, currencies and other financial instruments on the financial markets. Trading news releases can be a significant tool for financial investors. Economic news reports often spur strong short-term moves in the markets, which may create trading opportunities for traders.

What are high impact news events? ›

High-impact news includes events like interest rate decisions, inflation rates, retail sales, consumer spending, labour market data, and nonfarm payroll reports. The impact of these events can be profound, affecting market sentiment and, thus, currency values.

Why do traders watch the news? ›

Breaking news, economic reports, and other reported events can have a short-lived effect on the price action of stocks, bonds, and other securities. News traders try to profit by taking advantage of market sentiment leading up to the release of important news and/or trading on the market's response to the news after ...

What is No 1 rule of trading? ›

Rule 1: Always Use a Trading Plan

You need a trading plan because it can assist you with making coherent trading decisions and define the boundaries of your optimal trade. A decent trading plan will assist you with avoiding making passionate decisions without giving it much thought.

What's the hardest mistake to avoid while trading? ›

Biggest trading mistakes
  • Over-reliance on software.
  • Failing to cut losses.
  • Overexposure.
  • Overdiversifying a portfolio.
  • Not understanding leverage.
  • Not using an appropriate risk-reward ratio.
  • Overconfidence after a profit.
  • Letting emotions impair decision making.

Why is Monday a bad day to trade? ›

Some theories say the Monday effect has a lot to do with the tendency of companies to release bad news on a Friday, after markets close, which then depresses stock prices on the following Monday.

Should you trade the news in forex? ›

In the Forex market, whether or not to trade based on news depends on your trading strategy and risk tolerance. News trading is not necessary for everyone, but it can be an integral part of some traders' strategies.

Can I trade during news on FTMo? ›

However, at the same time for clients who trade on FTMO Accounts with a leverage of 1:100 (and therefore do not have a Swing account), certain restrictions apply on selected major news. This means that it is not allowed to open or close trades 2 minutes before or 2 minutes after the publication of these highlights.

Why is trading on insider information illegal? ›

Insider trading violates trust and fiduciary duty, leading to serious legal implications. The victims are often everyday investors — and the economy as a whole. Insider trading has been a hot-button issue for many years.

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