Retirement - The 80% Rule - Has it stood up the test of time (2024)

Retirement – The 80% Rule

Jan 9, 2023

Retirement - The 80% Rule - Has it stood up the test of time (1)

A classic retirement preparation rule states that you should retire on 80% of the income you earned in your last year of work. Is this old axiom still true, or does it need reconsidering?

Some new research suggests that retirees may not need that much annual income to keep up their standard of living.

The 80% rule is really just a guideline.

It refers to 80% of a retiree’s final yearly gross income, rather than his or her net pay. The difference between gross income and wages after withholdings and taxes is significant to say the least.1

The major financial challenge for the new retiree is how to replace his or her paycheck, not his or her gross income.

So concluded Texas Tech University professor Michael Finke, who analyzed the 80% rule and published his conclusions in Research, a magazine for financial services industry professionals. Finke noted four factors that the 80% rule does not recognize. One, retirees no longer need to direct part of their incomes into retirement accounts. Two, they no longer involuntarily contribute to Social Security and Medicare, as they did while working. Three, most retirees do not have a daily commute, nor the daily expenses that accompany it. Four, people often retire into a lower income tax bracket.1

Given all these factors, Finke concluded that the typical retiree could probably sustain their lifestyle with no more than 77% of an end salary, or 60% of his or her average annual lifetime income.1

Retirees need to determine the expenses that will diminish in retirement.

That determination, rather than a simple rule of thumb, will help them realize the level of income they need.

Imagine two 60-year-old workers, both earning identical salaries at the same firm. One currently directs 25% of her pay into a workplace retirement strategy. The other directs just 5% of her pay into that strategy. The worker deferring 25% of her salary into retirement savings needs to replace a lower percentage of their pay in retirement than the worker deferring only 5% of hers. Relatively speaking, the more avid retirement saver is already used to living on less.

This is a hypothetical example used for illustrative purposes only. It is not representative of any specific investment or combination of investments.

New retirees may not necessarily find themselves living on less.

The retirement experience differs for everyone, and so does retiree personal spending. A recent Employee Benefit Research Institute survey found that over a third of retirees report spending more than they had originally expected. Only 9% reported that they were spending less than they had expected.2

A timeline of typical retiree spending resembles a “smile.”

A study from investment research firm Morningstar noted that a retiree household’s inflation-adjusted spending usually dips at the start of retirement, bottoms out in the middle of the retirement experience, and then increases toward the very end.3

A retirement budget is a very good idea.

There will be some out-of-budget costs, of course, ranging from the pleasant to the unpleasant. Those financial exceptions aside, abiding by a monthly budget (with or without the use of free online tools) may help you to rein in any questionable spending.

Any retirement income strategy should be personalized.

Your own strategy should be based on an accurate, detailed assessment of your income needs and your available income resources. That information will help you discern just how much income you will need when retired.

For more insights and resources, be sure to sign up for ourWeekly Market Commentary. Follow our YouTube channel where we regularly postour Epic Market Minute videos. Follow us onLinkedIn, or like us onFacebook. And as always, please don’t hesitate to reach out to a dedicated service professional atEpic Capital.

Citations.1 - http://www.michaelfinke.com/research.html [2022]2 - https://www.ebri.org/retirement/retirement-confidence-survey [2022]3 - https://www.thestreet.com/retirement/want-to-be-rich-in-retirement-plan-better-save-more [2/23/22]
Retirement - The 80% Rule - Has it stood up the test of time (2024)

FAQs

Do I really need 80% of my income to retire? ›

The typical rule of thumb is retirees should ideally replace 80% of their gross pay, so if you have a $50,000 annual salary, you would ideally want to replace $40,000 of that.

Why the 4% rule no longer works for retirees? ›

The 4% rule comes with a major caveat: It's not really a “rule” since everyone's situation is different. If you have a large retirement investment portfolio, you might not need to spend 4% of it every year. If you have limited savings, 4% might not come close to covering your needs.

What is the 80% retirement rule? ›

The rule of thumb is that to you'll need about 80 percent of your pre-retirement income to maintain your lifestyle in retirement, although that rule requires a pretty flexible thumb.

What percentage of retirees have $3 million dollars? ›

Specifically, those with over $1 million in retirement accounts are in the top 3% of retirees. The Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) estimates that 3.2% of retirees have over $1 million, and a mere 0.1% have $5 million or more, based on data from the Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances.

What is the average 401k balance for a 65 year old? ›

Average and median 401(k) balances by age
Age rangeAverage balanceMedian balance
35-44$91,281$35,537
45-54$168,646$60,763
55-64$244,750$87,571
65+$272,588$88,488
2 more rows
Jun 24, 2024

How long will 500k last in retirement? ›

As mentioned, $500,000 can last for over 30 years if budgeted correctly. However, there are a number of caveats to this, including how long you need your retirement savings to last you. For example, if you retire at 40 and need enough retirement savings for another 40 years, you may struggle.

What is the $1000 a month rule for retirement? ›

The $1,000 per month rule is a guideline to estimate retirement savings based on your desired monthly income. For every $240,000 you set aside, you can receive $1,000 a month if you withdraw 5% each year. This simple rule is a good starting point, but you should consider factors like inflation for long-term planning.

What is the golden rule for retirement? ›

The golden rule of saving 15% of your pre-tax income for retirement serves as a starting point, but individual circ*mstances and factors must also be considered.

How many people have $1,000,000 in retirement savings? ›

Specifically, 485,000 of them. That's up 15% from the 422,000 accounts reported at the end of 2023 and 43% higher than a year ago. Fidelity is one of the largest providers of workplace retirement plans, and its 401(k) data is based on more than 23 million plan participants.

How long will $1 million last in retirement? ›

Around the U.S., a $1 million nest egg can cover an average of 18.9 years worth of living expenses, GoBankingRates found. But where you retire can have a profound impact on how far your money goes, ranging from as a little as 10 years in Hawaii to more than than 20 years in more than a dozen states.

What is a good monthly retirement income? ›

Average Monthly Retirement Income

According to data from the BLS, average 2022 incomes after taxes were as follows for older households: 65-74 years: $63,187 per year or $5,266 per month. 75 and older: $47,928 per year or $3,994 per month.

Can I retire on $500,000 plus Social Security? ›

If you have $500,000 in a pre-tax IRA and expect $2,000 per month from Social Security, you may have enough money to retire at age 67. A half million dollars is a relatively modest nest egg, but it can still generate a comfortable income depending on your standard of living.

What does the average American retire with? ›

What are the average and median retirement savings? The average retirement savings for all families is $333,940, according to the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances. The median retirement savings for all families is $87,000. Taken on their own, those numbers aren't incredibly helpful.

What is considered wealthy in retirement? ›

To be considered wealthy at age 65 or older, you need a household net worth of $3.2 million, according to finance expert Geoffrey Schmidt, CPA, who used data from the 2019 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) to determine the household net worth needed at age 65 or older to determine the various percentiles of wealth in ...

How many people have 200k in savings? ›

9% of Americans have between $100,000 and $200,000 saved, and 4% have between $200,000 and $350,000 saved.

What percentage of income do you really need in retirement? ›

After analyzing many scenarios, we found that 75% is a good starting point to consider for your income replacement rate. This means that if you make $100,000 shortly before retirement, you can start to plan using the ballpark expectation that you'll need about $75,000 a year to live on in retirement.

Is 70% of income enough for retirement? ›

While the 70-80% Rule is a good starting point, the actual percentage can vary considerably depending on individual circ*mstances. A study of actual retirement cost found that while spending in retirement ranges from 54-87%,that most retirees use 70% or less of their former income.

How much money do you really need when you retire? ›

Let's start with how much you will need every year. There are lots of figures floating about, but financial experts generally recommend the two thirds rule – for a comfortable retirement, your total pension needs to be about two thirds of your pre-retirement income to enjoy financial independence.

Do you really need a lot of money to retire? ›

Someone between the ages of 51 and 55 should have 5.3 times their current salary saved for retirement. Someone between the ages of 56 and 60 should have 6.9 times their current salary saved for retirement. Someone between the ages of 61 and 64 should have 8.5 times their current salary saved for retirement.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Rueben Jacobs

Last Updated:

Views: 5458

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (77 voted)

Reviews: 92% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Rueben Jacobs

Birthday: 1999-03-14

Address: 951 Caterina Walk, Schambergerside, CA 67667-0896

Phone: +6881806848632

Job: Internal Education Planner

Hobby: Candle making, Cabaret, Poi, Gambling, Rock climbing, Wood carving, Computer programming

Introduction: My name is Rueben Jacobs, I am a cooperative, beautiful, kind, comfortable, glamorous, open, magnificent person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.